RICHLAND SPRINGS SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 120 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $23,161 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $46,322/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN SABA H S SAN SABA |
Public | 14.2 | 217 | +2.8% |
| ROCHELLE SCHOOL ROCHELLE |
Public | 15.3 | 50 | — |
| NEW HORIZONS RANCH SCHOOL GOLDTHWAITE |
Public | 19.4 | 13 | — |
| BROOKESMITH SCHOOL BROOKESMITH |
Public | 21.6 | 47 | — |
| CHEROKEE SCHOOL CHEROKEE |
Public | 24.8 | 44 | — |
| BRADY H S BRADY |
Public | 25.5 | 271 | -8.1% |
| GOLDTHWAITE H S GOLDTHWAITE |
Public | 25.5 | 168 | -9.7% |
| MULLIN MAIN MULLIN |
Public | 25.8 | 28 | — |