GOLDTHWAITE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 168 students:
≈ 26 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,528 per student in district revenue, the 26 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $455,728/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW HORIZONS RANCH SCHOOL GOLDTHWAITE |
Public | 7.8 | 13 | — |
| MULLIN MAIN MULLIN |
Public | 8.9 | 28 | — |
| PRIDDY SCHOOL PRIDDY |
Public | 15.9 | 41 | — |
| LOMETA SCHOOL LOMETA |
Public | 19.7 | 88 | +6.0% |
| SAN SABA H S SAN SABA |
Public | 19.9 | 217 | +2.8% |
| ZEPHYR SCHOOL ZEPHYR |
Public | 20.0 | 62 | — |
| EVANT H S EVANT |
Public | 25.2 | 58 | -6.5% |
| RICHLAND SPRINGS SCHOOL RICHLAND SPRINGS |
Public | 25.5 | 51 | — |