CHEROKEE SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 123 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,435 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $155,480/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN SABA H S SAN SABA |
Public | 15.0 | 217 | +2.8% |
| Llano Christian Academy Llano |
Private | 16.3 | 60 | -4.8% |
| LLANO H S LLANO |
Public | 17.1 | 500 | -5.5% |
| RICHLAND SPRINGS SCHOOL RICHLAND SPRINGS |
Public | 24.8 | 51 | — |
| LOMETA SCHOOL LOMETA |
Public | 25.1 | 88 | +6.0% |
| KINGSLAND SCHOOL KINGSLAND |
Public · charter | 26.7 | 39 | — |
| LAMPASAS H S LAMPASAS |
Public | 31.1 | 1,145 | +13.9% |
| BURNET H S BURNET |
Public | 31.8 | 946 | -0.7% |