MULLIN MAIN
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -6.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 79 students:
≈ 23 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $24,180 per student in district revenue, the 23 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $556,140/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW HORIZONS RANCH SCHOOL GOLDTHWAITE |
Public | 7.1 | 13 | — |
| GOLDTHWAITE H S GOLDTHWAITE |
Public | 8.9 | 168 | -9.7% |
| ZEPHYR SCHOOL ZEPHYR |
Public | 11.0 | 62 | — |
| PRIDDY SCHOOL PRIDDY |
Public | 12.6 | 41 | — |
| BLANKET SCHOOL BLANKET |
Public | 19.7 | 55 | — |
| BROWNWOOD ACCELERATED H S BROWNWOOD |
Public | 20.1 | 17 | — |
| EARLY H S EARLY |
Public | 20.2 | 365 | +2.2% |
| BROWNWOOD H S BROWNWOOD |
Public | 20.4 | 935 | -6.7% |