THE ACADEMY OF VIOLA DEWALT H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 163 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $16,799 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $134,392/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA PORTE H S LA PORTE |
Public | 1.2 | 2,090 | +4.7% |
| LEE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 4.7 | 1,747 | -3.5% |
| IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 5.0 | 413 | -0.2% |
| PETER E HYLAND CENTER BAYTOWN |
Public | 5.5 | 107 | -27.7% |
| First Baptist Christian Academy Pasadena |
Private | 6.3 | 482 | -5.5% |
| DEER PARK H S DEER PARK |
Public | 6.5 | 4,057 | +1.7% |
| STUART CAREER TECH H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 6.8 | 597 | +44.2% |
| STERLING H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 7.7 | 2,150 | +6.2% |