PETER E HYLAND CENTER
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -10.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 107 students:
≈ 45 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,196 per student in district revenue, the 45 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $683,820/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 0.6 | 413 | -0.2% |
| LEE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 0.8 | 1,747 | -3.5% |
| STUART CAREER TECH H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 1.3 | 597 | +44.2% |
| STERLING H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 2.1 | 2,150 | +6.2% |
| Baytown Christian Academy Baytown |
Private | 3.1 | 228 | +28.8% |
| HIGH POINT SCHOOL BAYTOWN |
Public | 4.2 | 14 | — |
| THE ACADEMY OF VIOLA DEWALT H S LA PORTE |
Public | 5.5 | 163 | -3.0% |
| GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL BAYTOWN |
Public | 5.7 | 2,335 | +8.2% |