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IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S

Public
BAYTOWN, TX · GOOSE CREEK CISD · 64.4% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 83 in 2021 to 93 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+12.0%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 413 students:

2025
413
2027
412
2029
411

≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,196 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $30,392/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
LEE H S
BAYTOWN
Public 0.3 1,747 -3.5%
PETER E HYLAND CENTER
BAYTOWN
Public 0.6 107 -27.7%
STUART CAREER TECH H S
BAYTOWN
Public 1.8 597 +44.2%
STERLING H S
BAYTOWN
Public 2.7 2,150 +6.2%
Baytown Christian Academy
Baytown
Private 3.7 228 +28.8%
HIGH POINT SCHOOL
BAYTOWN
Public 4.8 14
THE ACADEMY OF VIOLA DEWALT H S
LA PORTE
Public 5.0 163 -3.0%
LA PORTE H S
LA PORTE
Public 5.8 2,090 +4.7%

Is IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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