STUART CAREER TECH H S
Public
BAYTOWN, TX · GOOSE CREEK CISD · 73.5% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 54 in 2021 to
106 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+96.3%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +13.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 597 students:
2025
674
2027
861
2029
1,099
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $15,196 per student in district revenue, the 502 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $7,628,392/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STERLING H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 1.0 | 2,150 | +6.2% |
| PETER E HYLAND CENTER BAYTOWN |
Public | 1.3 | 107 | -27.7% |
| IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 1.8 | 413 | -0.2% |
| Baytown Christian Academy Baytown |
Private | 2.0 | 228 | +28.8% |
| LEE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 2.1 | 1,747 | -3.5% |
| HIGH POINT SCHOOL BAYTOWN |
Public | 3.5 | 14 | — |
| GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL BAYTOWN |
Public | 4.7 | 2,335 | +8.2% |
| Chinquapin Preparatory School Highlands |
Private | 5.5 | 146 | -5.8% |