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LEE H S

Public
BAYTOWN, TX · GOOSE CREEK CISD · 74.1% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 435 in 2021 to 405 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-6.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.2%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,747 students:

2025
1,726
2027
1,685
2029
1,645

≈ 102 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,196 per student in district revenue, the 102 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,549,992/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S
BAYTOWN
Public 0.3 413 -0.2%
PETER E HYLAND CENTER
BAYTOWN
Public 0.8 107 -27.7%
STUART CAREER TECH H S
BAYTOWN
Public 2.1 597 +44.2%
STERLING H S
BAYTOWN
Public 3.0 2,150 +6.2%
Baytown Christian Academy
Baytown
Private 3.9 228 +28.8%
THE ACADEMY OF VIOLA DEWALT H S
LA PORTE
Public 4.7 163 -3.0%
HIGH POINT SCHOOL
BAYTOWN
Public 5.0 14
LA PORTE H S
LA PORTE
Public 5.5 2,090 +4.7%

Is LEE H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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