STERLING H S
Public
BAYTOWN, TX · GOOSE CREEK CISD · 71.0% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 490 in 2021 to
503 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+2.7%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,150 students:
2025
2,194
2027
2,284
2029
2,378
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $15,196 per student in district revenue, the 228 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $3,464,688/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baytown Christian Academy Baytown |
Private | 1.0 | 228 | +28.8% |
| STUART CAREER TECH H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 1.0 | 597 | +44.2% |
| PETER E HYLAND CENTER BAYTOWN |
Public | 2.1 | 107 | -27.7% |
| HIGH POINT SCHOOL BAYTOWN |
Public | 2.5 | 14 | — |
| IMPACT EARLY COLLEGE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 2.7 | 413 | -0.2% |
| LEE H S BAYTOWN |
Public | 3.0 | 1,747 | -3.5% |
| GOOSE CREEK MEMORIAL BAYTOWN |
Public | 3.7 | 2,335 | +8.2% |
| Chinquapin Preparatory School Highlands |
Private | 4.6 | 146 | -5.8% |