RIDGE POINT H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,816 students:
≈ 358 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 358 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,293,136/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HIGHTOWER H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 3.4 | 2,312 | -1.9% |
| LAWRENCE E ELKINS H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 5.0 | 2,848 | +10.6% |
| IOWA COLONY H S IOWA COLONY |
Public | 7.2 | 1,781 | +124.9% |
| WILLOWRIDGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 7.3 | 1,242 | -3.7% |
| SHADOW CREEK H S PEARLAND |
Public | 8.0 | 2,599 | +1.1% |
| STAFFORD H S STAFFORD |
Public | 8.2 | 1,108 | +6.1% |
| The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy Missouri City |
Private | 8.6 | 15 | — |
| THURGOOD MARSHALL H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 8.8 | 1,698 | +9.5% |