SHADOW CREEK H S
Public
PEARLAND, TX · ALVIN ISD · 29.2% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 608 in 2021 to
657 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+8.1%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,599 students:
2025
2,608
2027
2,627
2029
2,646
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $13,391 per student in district revenue, the 47 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $629,377/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLENDA DAWSON H S PEARLAND |
Public | 3.5 | 2,569 | +2.1% |
| YES PREP - SOUTHWEST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 574 | +0.3% |
| WILLOWRIDGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 5.3 | 1,242 | -3.7% |
| HIGHTOWER H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 5.8 | 2,312 | -1.9% |
| MADISON H S HOUSTON |
Public | 5.8 | 1,588 | -18.9% |
| MANVEL H S MANVEL |
Public | 5.9 | 2,238 | -23.9% |
| ADAPT MANVEL |
Public | 6.3 | 74 | -5.1% |
| SOUTH EARLY COLLEGE H S HOUSTON |
Public | 6.3 | 452 | +14.1% |