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LAWRENCE E ELKINS H S

Public
MISSOURI CITY, TX · FORT BEND ISD · 29.2% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 613 in 2021 to 667 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+8.8%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +3.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,848 students:

2025
2,945
2027
3,150
2029
3,369

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 521 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $6,247,832/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
HIGHTOWER H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 3.7 2,312 -1.9%
The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy
Missouri City
Private 3.9 15
STAFFORD H S
STAFFORD
Public 4.0 1,108 +6.1%
CLEMENTS H S
SUGAR LAND
Public 4.9 2,641 +6.1%
RIDGE POINT H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 5.0 2,816 -7.8%
THURGOOD MARSHALL H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 5.0 1,698 +9.5%
DULLES H S
SUGAR LAND
Public 5.4 2,165 -9.8%
WILLOWRIDGE H S
HOUSTON
Public 5.4 1,242 -3.7%

Is LAWRENCE E ELKINS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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