WILLOWRIDGE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,242 students:
≈ 76 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 76 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $911,392/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES PREP - SOUTHWEST HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 2.7 | 574 | +0.3% |
| THURGOOD MARSHALL H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 3.0 | 1,698 | +9.5% |
| STAFFORD H S STAFFORD |
Public | 3.7 | 1,108 | +6.1% |
| HIGHTOWER H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 3.9 | 2,312 | -1.9% |
| MADISON H S HOUSTON |
Public | 4.1 | 1,588 | -18.9% |
| WESTBURY H S HOUSTON |
Public | 4.4 | 1,991 | -15.1% |
| The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy Missouri City |
Private | 5.2 | 15 | — |
| SHADOW CREEK H S PEARLAND |
Public | 5.3 | 2,599 | +1.1% |