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STAFFORD H S

Public
STAFFORD, TX · STAFFORD MSD · 67.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 253 in 2021 to 283 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+11.9%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,108 students:

2025
1,130
2027
1,176
2029
1,224

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $14,624 per student in district revenue, the 116 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,696,384/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
THURGOOD MARSHALL H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 1.3 1,698 +9.5%
The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy
Missouri City
Private 1.5 15
DULLES H S
SUGAR LAND
Public 2.9 2,165 -9.8%
Logos Preparatory School
Sugar Land
Private 3.6 524 +3.4%
WILLOWRIDGE H S
HOUSTON
Public 3.7 1,242 -3.7%
YES PREP - BRAYS OAKS
HOUSTON
Public · charter 3.9 566 +3.5%
LAWRENCE E ELKINS H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 4.0 2,848 +10.6%
TEXANS CAN ACADEMY - HOUSTON SOUTHWEST
HOUSTON
Public · charter 4.1 410 +5.1%

Is STAFFORD H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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