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HIGHTOWER H S

Public
MISSOURI CITY, TX · FORT BEND ISD · 59.3% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 475 in 2021 to 572 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+20.4%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -0.6%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,312 students:

2025
2,298
2027
2,269
2029
2,240

≈ 72 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 72 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $863,424/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
RIDGE POINT H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 3.4 2,816 -7.8%
LAWRENCE E ELKINS H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 3.7 2,848 +10.6%
WILLOWRIDGE H S
HOUSTON
Public 3.9 1,242 -3.7%
STAFFORD H S
STAFFORD
Public 5.5 1,108 +6.1%
THURGOOD MARSHALL H S
MISSOURI CITY
Public 5.7 1,698 +9.5%
SHADOW CREEK H S
PEARLAND
Public 5.8 2,599 +1.1%
YES PREP - SOUTHWEST
HOUSTON
Public · charter 6.1 574 +0.3%
The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy
Missouri City
Private 6.3 15

Is HIGHTOWER H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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