DULLES H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 2,165 students:
≈ 340 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,992 per student in district revenue, the 340 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $4,077,280/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logos Preparatory School Sugar Land |
Private | 0.7 | 524 | +3.4% |
| The Williams School Dba Homeschool Academy Missouri City |
Private | 1.7 | 15 | — |
| STAFFORD H S STAFFORD |
Public | 2.9 | 1,108 | +6.1% |
| M R WOOD CENTER FOR LEARNING SUGAR LAND |
Public | 3.2 | 104 | +50.7% |
| KIPP HOUSTON H S HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 642 | -4.0% |
| THURGOOD MARSHALL H S MISSOURI CITY |
Public | 3.8 | 1,698 | +9.5% |
| PHOENIX SCHOOL AT SOUTHWEST SCHOOLS HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 3.9 | 90 | -8.2% |
| YES PREP - BRAYS OAKS HOUSTON |
Public · charter | 4.0 | 566 | +3.5% |