DILLEY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 258 students:
≈ 19 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $21,761 per student in district revenue, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $413,459/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEARSALL H S PEARSALL |
Public | 16.5 | 572 | -5.8% |
| COTULLA H S COTULLA |
Public | 16.6 | 356 | -1.4% |
| CHARLOTTE H S CHARLOTTE |
Public | 31.2 | 137 | +8.7% |
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 35.8 | 26 | — |
| DEVINE DAEP SCHOOL DEVINE |
Public | 35.9 | 7 | — |
| DEVINE H S DEVINE |
Public | 36.1 | 551 | +1.1% |
| CRYSTAL CITY H S CRYSTAL CITY |
Public | 39.4 | 505 | -5.6% |
| NATALIA H S NATALIA |
Public | 40.1 | 352 | +5.4% |