NATALIA H S
Public
NATALIA, TX · NATALIA ISD · 73.0% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 60 in 2021 to
63 in 2024
— over 3 years.
+5.0%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +1.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 352 students:
2025
358
2027
371
2029
384
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $14,924 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $477,568/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEVINE DAEP SCHOOL DEVINE |
Public | 4.5 | 7 | — |
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 4.5 | 26 | — |
| LYTLE DAEP LYTLE |
Public | 4.5 | 5 | — |
| DEVINE H S DEVINE |
Public | 4.6 | 551 | +1.1% |
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 4.6 | 525 | +7.8% |
| MEDINA VALLEY H S CASTROVILLE |
Public | 11.0 | 2,626 | +35.6% |
| SHIRLEEN ZACHARIAS EARLY CLGE LEADERSHIP ACADEMY SOMERSET |
Public | 12.5 | 128 | -9.9% |
| SOMERSET H S SOMERSET |
Public | 12.7 | 1,175 | +3.8% |