PEARSALL H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 572 students:
≈ 54 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,184 per student in district revenue, the 54 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $927,936/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DILLEY H S DILLEY |
Public | 16.5 | 258 | -4.4% |
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 19.7 | 26 | — |
| DEVINE DAEP SCHOOL DEVINE |
Public | 19.7 | 7 | — |
| DEVINE H S DEVINE |
Public | 19.8 | 551 | +1.1% |
| CHARLOTTE H S CHARLOTTE |
Public | 23.5 | 137 | +8.7% |
| NATALIA H S NATALIA |
Public | 24.1 | 352 | +5.4% |
| LYTLE DAEP LYTLE |
Public | 28.6 | 5 | — |
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 28.7 | 525 | +7.8% |