CRYSTAL CITY H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 505 students:
≈ 46 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,755 per student in district revenue, the 46 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $724,730/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARRIZO SPRINGS H S CARRIZO SPRINGS |
Public | 12.0 | 565 | -5.7% |
| LA PRYOR SECONDARY LA PRYOR |
Public | 17.7 | 135 | +3.8% |
| Uvalde Classical Academy Uvalde |
Private | 36.3 | 97 | +2.1% |
| UVALDE H S UVALDE |
Public | 36.7 | 1,148 | -1.0% |
| CROSSROADS ACADEMY UVALDE |
Public | 37.0 | 59 | — |
| C C WINN H S EAGLE PASS |
Public | 38.3 | 1,878 | -8.2% |
| DILLEY H S DILLEY |
Public | 39.4 | 258 | -4.4% |
| EAGLE PASS H S EAGLE PASS |
Public | 40.3 | 2,326 | +2.2% |