COTULLA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 356 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,822 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $158,576/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DILLEY H S DILLEY |
Public | 16.6 | 258 | -4.4% |
| PEARSALL H S PEARSALL |
Public | 33.0 | 572 | -5.8% |
| CARRIZO SPRINGS H S CARRIZO SPRINGS |
Public | 38.2 | 565 | -5.7% |
| CRYSTAL CITY H S CRYSTAL CITY |
Public | 40.3 | 505 | -5.6% |
| MCMULLEN COUNTY SCHOOL TILDEN |
Public | 40.8 | 89 | -2.2% |
| CHARLOTTE H S CHARLOTTE |
Public | 42.9 | 137 | +8.7% |
| LA PRYOR SECONDARY LA PRYOR |
Public | 51.3 | 135 | +3.8% |
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 52.0 | 26 | — |