DEVINE DAEP SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -18.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 8 students:
≈ 5 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $12,040 per student in district revenue, the 5 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $60,200/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEVINE LEARNING ACADEMY DEVINE |
Public | 0.0 | 26 | — |
| DEVINE H S DEVINE |
Public | 0.8 | 551 | +1.1% |
| NATALIA H S NATALIA |
Public | 4.5 | 352 | +5.4% |
| LYTLE DAEP LYTLE |
Public | 9.0 | 5 | — |
| LYTLE H S LYTLE |
Public | 9.1 | 525 | +7.8% |
| MEDINA VALLEY H S CASTROVILLE |
Public | 14.7 | 2,626 | +35.6% |
| SHIRLEEN ZACHARIAS EARLY CLGE LEADERSHIP ACADEMY SOMERSET |
Public | 16.5 | 128 | -9.9% |
| SOMERSET H S SOMERSET |
Public | 16.7 | 1,175 | +3.8% |