MCMULLEN COUNTY SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.4%/year, projecting from 2024's 280 students:
≈ 5 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $41,524 per student in district revenue, the 5 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $207,620/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THREE RIVERS JR/SR H S THREE RIVERS |
Public | 22.8 | 178 | -6.8% |
| GEORGE WEST H S GEORGE WEST |
Public | 27.6 | 274 | +5.4% |
| CHARLOTTE H S CHARLOTTE |
Public | 29.5 | 137 | +8.7% |
| JOURDANTON H S JOURDANTON |
Public | 31.2 | 471 | +7.5% |
| THE LARRY BROWN SCHOOL JOURDANTON |
Public | 32.0 | 2 | — |
| JOURDANTON DAEP JOURDANTON |
Public | 32.0 | 8 | — |
| ATASCOSA CO ALTER JOURDANTON |
Public | 32.0 | 2 | — |
| PLEASANTON H S PLEASANTON |
Public | 35.3 | 978 | +2.4% |