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CARRIZO SPRINGS H S

Public
CARRIZO SPRINGS, TX · CARRIZO SPRINGS CISD · 72.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 131 in 2021 to 133 in 2024 — over 3 years.
+1.5%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 565 students:

2025
554
2027
533
2029
513

≈ 52 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At $15,037 per student in district revenue, the 52 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $781,924/year in funding at risk.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
CRYSTAL CITY H S
CRYSTAL CITY
Public 12.0 505 -5.6%
LA PRYOR SECONDARY
LA PRYOR
Public 29.6 135 +3.8%
COTULLA H S
COTULLA
Public 38.2 356 -1.4%
C C WINN H S
EAGLE PASS
Public 39.1 1,878 -8.2%
EAGLE PASS H S
EAGLE PASS
Public 41.3 2,326 +2.2%
DAEP
EAGLE PASS
Public 42.0 30
DILLEY H S
DILLEY
Public 42.3 258 -4.4%
Uvalde Classical Academy
Uvalde
Private 48.3 97 +2.1%

Is CARRIZO SPRINGS H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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