BIG SPRINGS CHARTER SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 101 students:
≈ 22 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,460 per student in district revenue, the 22 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $384,120/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEAKEY SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public | 8.7 | 96 | -1.0% |
| UTOPIA SCHOOL UTOPIA |
Public | 16.8 | 66 | +1.5% |
| NUECES CANYON JH/HS BARKSDALE |
Public | 23.0 | 74 | -1.3% |
| MEDINA SCHOOL MEDINA |
Public | 25.5 | 69 | -12.7% |
| INGRAM TOM MOORE H S INGRAM |
Public | 30.3 | 439 | +19.6% |
| HILL COUNTRY YOUTH RANCH INGRAM |
Public · charter | 31.5 | 41 | — |
| ROCKSPRINGS K-12 ROCKSPRINGS |
Public | 34.5 | 55 | -30.4% |
| HILL COUNTRY H S KERRVILLE |
Public | 35.9 | 43 | — |