NUECES CANYON JH/HS
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 114 students:
≈ 19 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $17,169 per student in district revenue, the 19 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $326,211/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEAKEY SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public | 16.5 | 96 | -1.0% |
| ROCKSPRINGS K-12 ROCKSPRINGS |
Public | 22.6 | 55 | -30.4% |
| BIG SPRINGS CHARTER SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public · charter | 23.0 | 47 | — |
| UTOPIA SCHOOL UTOPIA |
Public | 31.3 | 66 | +1.5% |
| BRACKETT H S BRACKETTVILLE |
Public | 36.2 | 165 | +5.8% |
| CROSSROADS ACADEMY UVALDE |
Public | 37.6 | 59 | — |
| UVALDE H S UVALDE |
Public | 38.1 | 1,148 | -1.0% |
| KNIPPA SCHOOL KNIPPA |
Public | 38.1 | 93 | +13.4% |