UTOPIA SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 196 students:
≈ 25 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $14,777 per student in district revenue, the 25 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $369,425/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEAKEY SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public | 16.0 | 96 | -1.0% |
| BIG SPRINGS CHARTER SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public · charter | 16.8 | 47 | — |
| SABINAL SECONDARY SABINAL |
Public | 20.5 | 143 | +18.2% |
| MEDINA SCHOOL MEDINA |
Public | 20.9 | 69 | -12.7% |
| KNIPPA SCHOOL KNIPPA |
Public | 22.9 | 93 | +13.4% |
| D'HANIS SCHOOL D'HANIS |
Public | 25.2 | 89 | -12.7% |
| BANDERA H S BANDERA |
Public | 29.1 | 664 | -2.5% |
| HONDO H S HONDO |
Public | 30.5 | 518 | -3.2% |