MEDINA SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.1%/year, projecting from 2024's 243 students:
≈ 35 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $23,358 per student in district revenue, the 35 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $817,530/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BANDERA H S BANDERA |
Public | 12.1 | 664 | -2.5% |
| Our Lady Of The Hills Reg Catholic High School Kerrville |
Private | 16.0 | 89 | -15.2% |
| CENTER POINT H S CENTER POINT |
Public | 16.2 | 163 | +0.6% |
| TIVY H S KERRVILLE |
Public | 18.4 | 1,363 | -5.9% |
| INGRAM TOM MOORE H S INGRAM |
Public | 19.0 | 439 | +19.6% |
| HILL COUNTRY H S KERRVILLE |
Public | 19.0 | 43 | — |
| Pipe Creek Christian School Pipe Creek |
Private | 19.3 | 36 | — |
| HILL COUNTRY YOUTH RANCH INGRAM |
Public · charter | 20.4 | 41 | — |