ROCKSPRINGS K-12
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -8.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 200 students:
≈ 68 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $22,456 per student in district revenue, the 68 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $1,527,008/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NUECES CANYON JH/HS BARKSDALE |
Public | 22.6 | 74 | -1.3% |
| LEAKEY SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public | 33.1 | 96 | -1.0% |
| BIG SPRINGS CHARTER SCHOOL LEAKEY |
Public · charter | 34.5 | 47 | — |
| JUNCTION H S JUNCTION |
Public | 41.3 | 177 | -4.3% |
| SONORA SECONDARY SCHOOL SONORA |
Public | 45.3 | 189 | -7.8% |
| UTOPIA SCHOOL UTOPIA |
Public | 49.0 | 66 | +1.5% |
| BRACKETT H S BRACKETTVILLE |
Public | 50.1 | 165 | +5.8% |
| INGRAM TOM MOORE H S INGRAM |
Public | 57.1 | 439 | +19.6% |