SONORA SECONDARY SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -4.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 278 students:
≈ 51 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,906 per student in district revenue, the 51 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $811,206/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELDORADO H S ELDORADO |
Public | 21.3 | 146 | -5.2% |
| OZONA H S OZONA |
Public | 35.2 | 214 | -8.9% |
| CHRISTOVAL H S CHRISTOVAL |
Public | 44.3 | 199 | +14.4% |
| ROCKSPRINGS K-12 ROCKSPRINGS |
Public | 45.3 | 55 | -30.4% |
| IRION H S MERTZON |
Public | 49.8 | 86 | -4.4% |
| JUNCTION H S JUNCTION |
Public | 51.4 | 177 | -4.3% |
| MENARD H S MENARD |
Public | 56.0 | 82 | -1.2% |
| San Angelo Christian Academy San Angelo |
Private | 59.0 | 106 | +19.1% |