Turlock Junior High
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Most similar nearby schools
John H Pitman High School → Ceres High School → Osborn Two-Way Immersion Academy → Hughson High School → Livingston High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Turlock Junior High.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.1%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,259 | -14 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,231 | -42 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,204 | -69 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
169 of 1,380 students who enrolled at Turlock Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (12.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.
Absenteeism is up 9.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
District financial profile — Turlock Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 27.0%
Federal: 10.1%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Turlock Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Turlock Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1231 by 2029 — about 42 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 42 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turlock Junior High | Public | 1273 | — | — |
| Peer-group median | 11.9% | +2% | ||
| John H Pitman High School | Public | 1968 | 15.5% | +2% |
| Ceres High School | Public | 1580 | 14.0% | -5% |
| Osborn Two-Way Immersion Academy | Public | 833 | — | — |
| Hughson High School | Public | 902 | 12.2% | +55% |
| Livingston High School | Public | 1154 | 9.8% | +1% |
| Turlock High School | Public | 2497 | 10.2% | +8% |
| Peter Johansen High | Public | 1938 | — | +20% |
| Fred C Beyer High School | Public | 1650 | 11.6% | +2% |
| Great Valley Academy | Public | 1010 | — | — |
| Cesar Chavez Junior High | Public | 683 | — | — |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →