Peter Johansen High
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Most similar nearby schools
Modesto High School → Thomas Downey High School → Grace M Davis High School → James C Enochs High School → Fred C Beyer High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Peter Johansen High.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,952 | +14 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,980 | +42 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~2,008 | +70 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Stanislaus County (+20.3% vs. +2.3%), but 325 of 2189 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled? Chronic absenteeism is also at 32.3% (up +10.2 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
325 of 2,189 students who enrolled at Peter Johansen High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (14.8% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 10.2 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Peter Johansen High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 20% (423→509 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +5%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.7%/yr); projects to ~1980 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Johansen High | Public | 1938 | — | +20% |
| Peer-group median | 12.4% | +5% | ||
| Modesto High School | Public | 2205 | 13.1% | +4% |
| Thomas Downey High School | Public | 2180 | 9.1% | +28% |
| Grace M Davis High School | Public | 1966 | 11.7% | +7% |
| James C Enochs High School | Public | 2332 | 25.9% | -2% |
| Fred C Beyer High School | Public | 1650 | 11.6% | +2% |
| Ceres High School | Public | 1580 | 14.0% | -5% |
| John H Pitman High School | Public | 1968 | 15.5% | +2% |
| Central Valley High School | Public | 2335 | 11.1% | +38% |
| Oakdale High School | Public | 1574 | 9.2% | +6% |
| Joseph a Gregori High School | Public | 2392 | 20.5% | +6% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →