Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep
Sacramento · Sacramento County · Natomas Unified · Public
📄 Shareable scorecard →📋 At a glance
- 📚 17 AP courses offered — Elite
- ✅ Dual-enrollment program (college credit while in HS)
- ✅ Gifted & talented program
- 🔢 2 calculus classes · 3 physics · 2 chemistry
- 🎓 AP rigor: 90th percentile nationally
- 📝 SAT/ACT participation: 64th percentile by test-taker volume
- 🎓 4-yr grad rate: 97% (90th percentile nationally)
Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.
How Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep compares for families
Above-average college outcomes statewide.
- ▸ Statewide29.4% UC Reach — 11.3 points above the California median of 18.1%. Ahead of 73% of California high schools.
- ▸ Locally🎯 Top 5% in California on Attendance (lowest chronic absenteeism) — plus 4 more top-ranks.
- ▸ vs Similar SchoolsBeats the peer median (29.4% UC Reach vs 16.5% median) across the 5 most similar nearby schools.
🎓 Academic rigor
AP + advanced-course offerings
Elite — exceptional AP + advanced course breadth
90th percentile nationally
✅ Gifted/talented program
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). CRDC reports what's offered + enrolled — it doesn't collect AP exam pass rates (College Board owns that data and doesn't release it school-level).
SAT / ACT participation
CRDC federal data · 2020-2164th percentile by test-taker volume
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). Volume — not score — is what's reported here. A higher count means more students at this school are entering the college admissions pipeline. Note: 2020-21 was COVID-disrupted; some districts (especially those that stayed remote longer) report unusually low or zero takers.
🎓 4-year graduation rate · federal EDFacts
What % of students graduate on time?
90th percentile nationally
Source: federal EDFacts ACGR (Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate), 2019 vintage via Urban Institute. EDFacts publishes a range (low-high) to preserve privacy on small cohorts; we display the midpoint.
🏛️ Federal Title I context
Title I Targeted Assistance eligible
35-39% FRPL — qualifies for Title I Targeted Assistance
35-39% of students qualify for free/reduced lunch. The school can receive Title I funds targeted to identified students (not schoolwide).
Source: NCES Common Core of Data, free/reduced-price lunch eligibility. The actual Title I designation is a district decision and may differ from eligibility — but the federal eligibility math is what we show here. We don't claim to assert whether the district formally chose to enroll this school in Title I.
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep sent 180 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 23.3% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 29.4% — 11.3 percentage points above the California median of 18.1%, higher than 73% of California high schools. The school produces 7.7 UCLA + UC Berkeley admits per 100 seniors.
+12.9 pp above peer median (16.5%) · Ranked #1 of 4 similar schools
18.1%
51.2%
29.4%
Higher than 73% of California high schools (978 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep's UC Reach of 29.4% is above the California median (18.1%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 51.2% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 97.3% — a gap of 68 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep's UC Reach is higher than 73% of California high schools (978 ranked).
UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA
Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.
| Campus | 4.00+ GPA | 3.70–3.99 GPA | 3.30–3.69 GPA | < 3.30 GPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UCLA | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UC San Diego | Strong shot | Moderate | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Santa Barbara | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Irvine | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Davis | Strong shot | Strong shot | Real shot | Filtered out |
The numbers behind it
| Campus | Applicant GPA | Admit GPA | Lift ⓘ | Admit rate | vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.87 | 4.18 | +0.31 | 17.6% | Peers +0.31 · matches |
| UCLA | 3.93 | 4.15 | +0.22 | 18.5% | Peers +0.31 · wider |
| UC San Diego | 3.83 | 4.21 | +0.38 | 20.0% | Peers +0.35 · matches |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.80 | 4.16 | +0.36 | 27.8% | Peers +0.35 · matches |
| UC Irvine (2024) | 3.94 | 4.19 | +0.25 | 11.9% | Peers +0.24 · matches |
| UC Davis | 3.81 | 4.12 | +0.31 | 38.9% | Peers +0.30 · matches |
📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)
| GPA band | UCB | UCLA | UCSD | UCSB | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00+ | 17.0% | 15.1% | 45.2% | 62.3% | 46.3% | 65.9% |
| 3.70–3.99 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| 3.30–3.69 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10.3% |
| 3.00–3.29 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| < 3.00 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
Where Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (26.6% actual vs. 21.8% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 34 | 6 | 3 | 17.6% | 4.2% | 50.0% | 3.87 | 4.18 |
| UCLA → Elite | 27 | 5 | —† | 18.5% | 3.5% | — | 3.93 | 4.15 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 25 | 5 | —† | 20.0% | 3.5% | — | 3.83 | 4.21 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 18 | 5 | —† | 27.8% | 3.5% | — | 3.80 | 4.16 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 22 | —† | —† | —† | —† | — | 3.90 | —† |
| UC Davis → | 54 | 21 | 13 | 38.9% | 14.7% | 61.9% | 3.81 | 4.12 |
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is down 3.3 pp since 2016-17. Engagement improving — a positive trajectory worth understanding and reinforcing.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+0.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~636 | +2 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~640 | +6 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~644 | +10 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Sacramento · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 4): 29% vs. a peer median of 16%.
- ▸Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep's UC Reach has declined meaningfully from a peak of 45% in 2024 to 29% in 2025 — a 15-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 10% (141→155 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -10%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.3%/yr); projects to ~640 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep | Public | 634 | 29.4% | +10% |
| Peer-group median | 16.5% | -10% | ||
| Leroy Greene Academy | Public | 753 | 16.5% | -4% |
| Highlands Community Charter | Public | 487 | — | -77% |
| Sava - Sacramento Academic And Vocational Academy - Scusd | Public | 616 | — | -16% |
| Aspire Alexander Twilight Secondary Academy | Public | 508 | — | +218% |
| California Innovative Career Academy | Public | 800 | — | +36% |
| Community Collaborative Charter | Public | 810 | — | -66% |
| Creative Connections Arts Academy | Public | 786 | — | +64% |
| Da Vinci Charter Academy | Public | 561 | 24.0% | -19% |
| Options For Youth San Juan | Public | 742 | — | -24% |
| Natomas High School | Public | 1094 | 10.0% | +30% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Sacramento County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep outperformed Sacramento County on enrollment (school +9.9% vs. county +3.0%) AND maintains 98.1% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
12 of 635 students who enrolled at Natomas Pacific Pathways Prep this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (1.9% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
District financial profile — Natomas Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 29.9%
Federal: 12.0%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Natomas Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).