Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Marce Becerra Academy → Palisades High (continuation) → Johanna Echols-Hansen High (continuation) → Buena Vista High → North Bay Met Academy → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Loconoma Valley High.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+7.2%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~15 | +1 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~17 | +3 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~20 | +6 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Lake County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -20.0% vs. county +7.8% AND stability (17.4%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem. Chronic absenteeism is also at 100.0% (up +31.6 pts from 2016-17) — engagement and demand are both signaling decline.
19 of 23 students who enrolled at Loconoma Valley High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (82.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 31.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Middletown Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 39.9%
Federal: 9.9%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Middletown Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Loconoma Valley High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 20% (5→4 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +22%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+7.2%/yr); projects to ~17 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loconoma Valley High | Public | 14 | — | -20% |
| Peer-group median | — | +22% | ||
| Marce Becerra Academy | Public | 21 | — | +36% |
| Palisades High (continuation) | Public | 6 | — | +50% |
| Johanna Echols-Hansen High (continuation) | Public | 20 | — | +7% |
| Buena Vista High | Public | 6 | — | +100% |
| North Bay Met Academy | Public | 28 | — | -76% |
| Clover Valley High (continuation) | Public | 16 | — | -29% |
| El Molino High School | Public | 7 | — | +100% |
| Natural High (continuation) | Public | 24 | — | +56% |
| Windsor Oaks Academy | Public | 38 | — | -24% |
| Wolfskill High | Public | 17 | — | -29% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →