Lakeview Junior High

· Santa Barbara County · Orcutt Union Elementary
Public Santa Barbara County 🏛 Orcutt Union Elementary → CDS 4269260…
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Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Orcutt Junior High → Delta High School → Arellanes Junior High → Manzanita Public Charter → Orcutt Academy Charter High School → Compare all similar →

No UC admissions data on file for Lakeview Junior High.

This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment
537 (2018)445 (2026)
-17.1%

If this trend holds (-2.3%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon Projected Total enrollment Change Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027) ~435 -10 $0
3 yr (2029) ~415 -30 $0
5 yr (2031) ~396 -49 $0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Santa Barbara County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Stability rate
86.3%
436 of 505 students

69 of 505 students who enrolled at Lakeview Junior High this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (13.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Santa Barbara County median
91.5% · school is in the 10th percentile of 31 HS
Statewide median
88.7% · in the 40th percentile of 2,648 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (370) 83.2%
Hispanic / Latino (355) 85.1%
White (104) 90.4%
Students w/ disabilities (74) 81.1%
English learners (42) 61.9%

Nearest peer high schools

Orcutt Junior High 90.3% Delta High School 23.4% Arellanes Junior High 87.2% Manzanita Public Charter 89.5% Orcutt Academy Charter High School 93.8%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: total enrollment.

Chronic absent
24.1%
118 of 489 students

Absenteeism is up 15.6 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.

Santa Barbara County median
18.9% · school is worse than 77% of 31 HS
Statewide median
20.9%
Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

District financial profile — Orcutt Union Elementary (FY2020)

From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.

Total revenue
$65.2M
+9.9% since FY2017
Per-pupil revenue
$13,465
4,842 students enrolled
Revenue mix
State: 55.6%
Local: 35.0%
Federal: 9.5%
Instruction share
63.0%
of current spending · $7,712/pupil
Long-term debt
$50.3M
+352.3% since FY2017
Total revenue by year ($M)
Total expenditure by year ($M)

Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Orcutt Union Elementary as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).

Lakeview Junior High — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

  • At its recent rate (-2.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~415 by 2029 — about 30 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

445 students (2026)
~415 projected (2029)
at -2.3%/yr

That's about 30 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School Type Size UC Reach Enroll. trend
Lakeview Junior High Public 445
Peer-group median 18.0% -4%
Orcutt Junior High Public 500
Delta High School Public 310 3.5% -27%
Arellanes Junior High Public 623
Manzanita Public Charter Public 528
Orcutt Academy Charter High School Public 796 32.5% +22%
Los Berros Visual And Performing Arts Academy Public 406
El Camino Junior High Public 774
Central Coast New Tech High Public 314 -4%
Fesler (isaac) Junior High Public 928
La Honda Steam Academy Public 548

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

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