Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Prospect High (continuation) → Ipakanni Early College Charter → Ridgeview High (continuation) → Fair View High (continuation) → Biggs High School → Compare all similar →No UC admissions data on file for Hearthstone School.
This school doesn't appear in UCOP's source-school records (it may send few or no applicants to UC). Its enrollment trend and similar-school comparison are still below.
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-6.8%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~74 | -5 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~64 | -15 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~55 | -24 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Butte County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment growth is beating Butte County (+17.6% vs. -8.9%), but 38 of 115 students didn't maintain continuous enrollment. Why are families leaving once enrolled?
38 of 115 students who enrolled at Hearthstone School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (33.0% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 14.1 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Hearthstone School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Oroville · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 18% (17→20 from 2024 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -22%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-6.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~64 by 2029 — about 15 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 15 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearthstone School | Public | 79 | — | +18% |
| Peer-group median | — | -22% | ||
| Prospect High (continuation) | Public | 81 | — | -27% |
| Ipakanni Early College Charter | Public | 66 | — | +50% |
| Ridgeview High (continuation) | Public | 56 | — | -37% |
| Fair View High (continuation) | Public | 100 | — | -20% |
| Biggs High School | Public | 177 | — | -25% |
| Hometech Charter | Public | 145 | — | +41% |
| Princeton High | Public | 44 | — | -35% |
| Albert Powell Continuation | Public | 139 | — | -3% |
| Bitney Prep High | Public | 93 | — | +35% |
| Silver Springs High (continuation) | Public | 94 | — | -29% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →