Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori
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Most similar nearby schools
Impact Academy Of Arts & Technology → Kipp King Collegiate High Sch → Connecting Waters Charter - East Bay → Madison Park Academy 6-12 → East Bay Innovation Academy → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+14.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~667 | +84 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~874 | +291 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,145 | +562 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori outperformed Alameda County on enrollment (school +55.6% vs. county +0.6%) AND maintains 95.3% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working.
10 of 212 students who enrolled at Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (4.7% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is in the typical CA HS range. Worth monitoring alongside the demand and retention signals above.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — Hayward Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 38.7%
Federal: 13.5%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Hayward Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-19.3 pp vs. peer median (26.6%) · Ranked #4 of 5 similar schools
18.5%
26.6%
53.3%
7.3%
Higher than 9% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori's UC Reach of 7.3% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in Alameda County, where the local median is 33.7% and the top-10% bar is 68.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Against similar schools, Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori trails the peer-group median (26.6%) — even though it looks strong vs. the state average.
Overall, Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori's UC Reach is higher than 9% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Hayward · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 5): 7% vs. a peer median of 27%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 9 points since 2019 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 56% (27→42 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +14%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+14.5%/yr); projects to ~874 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayward Twin Oaks Montessori | Public | 583 | 7.3% | +56% |
| Peer-group median | 26.6% | +14% | ||
| Impact Academy Of Arts & Technology | Public | 688 | — | -35% |
| Kipp King Collegiate High Sch | Public | 671 | 57.6% | +40% |
| Connecting Waters Charter - East Bay | Public | 518 | — | +244% |
| Madison Park Academy 6-12 | Public | 620 | — | +20% |
| East Bay Innovation Academy | Public | 481 | 42.3% | +72% |
| Castlemont High School | Public | 694 | 5.8% | +12% |
| Lodestar: A Lighthouse Community Charter Public | Public | 756 | — | +15% |
| San Lorenzo High School | Public | 963 | 10.9% | -15% |
| Aspire Lionel Wilson College Preparatory Academy | Public | 395 | — | +8% |
| Aspire Golden State College Preparatory Academy | Public | 404 | — | -19% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego | 4.15 | 60.0% | 17.3% | +42.7pp | Over |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 5 | 3 | — | 60.0% | 7.3% | — | 4.15 | — |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | — |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | — |
| UC Davis → | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | — |