San Lorenzo High School
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Most similar nearby schools
Coliseum College Prep Academy → Kipp King Collegiate High Sch → Lodestar: A Lighthouse Community Charter Public → Arroyo High → Impact Academy Of Arts & Technology → Compare all similar →Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-4.7%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~918 | -45 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~834 | -129 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~758 | -205 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Alameda County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -15.3% vs. county +0.6% AND stability (85.4%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.
164 of 1,127 students who enrolled at San Lorenzo High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (14.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 10.1 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
District financial profile — San Lorenzo Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 34.8%
Federal: 9.3%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the San Lorenzo Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
-8.9 pp vs. peer median (19.8%) · Ranked #5 of 9 similar schools
18.5%
53.3%
10.9%
Higher than 22% of California high schools (1105 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
San Lorenzo High School's UC Reach of 10.9% is below the California median (18.5%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 53.3% or higher.
But in Alameda County, where the local median is 33.7% and the top-10% bar is 68.8%, this score is mid-pack rather than exceptional — typical of its market rather than a standout.
Overall, San Lorenzo High School's UC Reach is higher than 22% of California high schools (1105 ranked).
San Lorenzo High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · San Lorenzo · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, San Lorenzo High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 9): 11% vs. a peer median of 20%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has held roughly steady since 2018.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 15% (333→282 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +8%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-4.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~834 by 2029 — about 129 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 129 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo High School | Public | 963 | 10.9% | -15% |
| Peer-group median | 19.8% | +8% | ||
| Coliseum College Prep Academy | Public | 929 | 46.5% | +75% |
| Kipp King Collegiate High Sch | Public | 671 | 57.6% | +40% |
| Lodestar: A Lighthouse Community Charter Public | Public | 756 | — | +15% |
| Arroyo High | Public | 1463 | 29.8% | -14% |
| Impact Academy Of Arts & Technology | Public | 688 | — | -35% |
| Tennyson High School | Public | 1367 | 5.3% | +4% |
| Fremont High School | Public | 1194 | 9.8% | +83% |
| Castlemont High School | Public | 694 | 5.8% | +12% |
| Skyline High School | Public | 1216 | 45.5% | -24% |
| Hayward High School | Public | 1544 | 7.5% | +2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Admit rate vs. CA peer average, by campus ⓘ
How does this school's admit rate at each UC compare to other CA schools whose applicant pool averages the same GPA?
| Campus | Applicant GPA (avg) | Actual admit rate | CA peer avg | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.84 | 9.1% | 11.7% | -2.6pp | On target |
| UC San Diego | 3.77 | 42.9% | 25.9% | +17.0pp | Over |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.64 | 50.0% | 28.0% | +22.0pp | Over |
| UC Irvine | 3.92 | 18.8% | 23.5% | -4.7pp | On target |
| UC Davis | 3.74 | 32.5% | 32.1% | +0.4pp | On target |
Where San Lorenzo High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants in line with what their GPAs predict (28.1% actual vs. 24.0% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 33 | 3 | 3 | 9.1% | 1.0% | 100.0% | 3.84 | — |
| UCLA → Elite | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | — |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 14 | 6 | — | 42.9% | 1.9% | — | 3.77 | 4.06 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 18 | 9 | 5 | 50.0% | 2.9% | 55.6% | 3.64 | 3.98 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 16 | 3 | — | 18.8% | 1.0% | — | 3.92 | — |
| UC Davis → | 40 | 13 | 6 | 32.5% | 4.2% | 46.2% | 3.74 | 4.08 |