WHEELER SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.0%/year, projecting from 2024's 372 students:
≈ 53 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,079 per student in district revenue, the 53 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $799,187/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORT ELLIOTT SCHOOL BRISCOE |
Public | 9.4 | 46 | — |
| KELTON ISD WHEELER |
Public | 9.7 | 44 | — |
| SHAMROCK ISD SHAMROCK |
Public | 16.2 | 98 | -15.5% |
| MCLEAN SCHOOL MCLEAN |
Public | 23.4 | 56 | -6.7% |
| MIAMI SCHOOL MIAMI |
Public | 26.2 | 55 | -14.1% |
| LEFORS SCHOOL LEFORS |
Public | 29.9 | 52 | — |
| CANADIAN H S CANADIAN |
Public | 32.5 | 283 | +1.1% |
| PAMPA H S PAMPA |
Public | 39.5 | 1,012 | -1.7% |