MCLEAN SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 182 students:
≈ 8 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,070 per student in district revenue, the 8 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $120,560/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEFORS SCHOOL LEFORS |
Public | 18.4 | 52 | — |
| SHAMROCK ISD SHAMROCK |
Public | 20.2 | 98 | -15.5% |
| WHEELER SCHOOL WHEELER |
Public | 23.4 | 110 | -12.0% |
| HEDLEY SCHOOL HEDLEY |
Public | 25.5 | 25 | — |
| CLARENDON H S CLARENDON |
Public | 26.6 | 128 | -10.5% |
| GROOM SCHOOL GROOM |
Public | 29.1 | 39 | — |
| KELTON ISD WHEELER |
Public | 29.7 | 44 | — |
| FORT ELLIOTT SCHOOL BRISCOE |
Public | 29.8 | 46 | — |