MIAMI SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 177 students:
≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $24,641 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $689,948/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEFORS SCHOOL LEFORS |
Public | 19.2 | 52 | — |
| PAMPA H S PAMPA |
Public | 20.4 | 1,012 | -1.7% |
| FORT ELLIOTT SCHOOL BRISCOE |
Public | 21.1 | 46 | — |
| CANADIAN H S CANADIAN |
Public | 21.1 | 283 | +1.1% |
| WHEELER SCHOOL WHEELER |
Public | 26.2 | 110 | -12.0% |
| MCLEAN SCHOOL MCLEAN |
Public | 31.0 | 56 | -6.7% |
| WHITE DEER H S WHITE DEER |
Public | 34.8 | 86 | -8.5% |
| KELTON ISD WHEELER |
Public | 35.5 | 44 | — |