FORT ELLIOTT SCHOOL
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -3.9%/year, projecting from 2024's 141 students:
≈ 26 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $19,618 per student in district revenue, the 26 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $510,068/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHEELER SCHOOL WHEELER |
Public | 9.4 | 110 | -12.0% |
| KELTON ISD WHEELER |
Public | 15.9 | 44 | — |
| MIAMI SCHOOL MIAMI |
Public | 21.1 | 55 | -14.1% |
| CANADIAN H S CANADIAN |
Public | 23.2 | 283 | +1.1% |
| SHAMROCK ISD SHAMROCK |
Public | 25.6 | 98 | -15.5% |
| MCLEAN SCHOOL MCLEAN |
Public | 29.8 | 56 | -6.7% |
| LEFORS SCHOOL LEFORS |
Public | 30.9 | 52 | — |
| PAMPA H S PAMPA |
Public | 38.3 | 1,012 | -1.7% |