WEST HARDIN H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -2.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 254 students:
≈ 34 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,267 per student in district revenue, the 34 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $519,078/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HULL-DAISETTA H S DAISETTA |
Public | 10.9 | 105 | -15.3% |
| HARDIN H S HARDIN |
Public | 12.5 | 396 | +9.7% |
| HARDIN-JEFFERSON H S SOUR LAKE |
Public | 14.2 | 782 | +7.7% |
| KOUNTZE H S KOUNTZE |
Public | 15.8 | 328 | -5.2% |
| LIBERTY H S LIBERTY |
Public | 18.5 | 768 | +16.0% |
| Chrysalis School Liberty |
Private | 19.2 | 22 | — |
| NEW AE CHINA |
Public | 19.5 | 3 | — |
| LUMBERTON H S LUMBERTON |
Public | 20.5 | 1,232 | +1.6% |