KOUNTZE H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -1.8%/year, projecting from 2024's 328 students:
≈ 28 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $15,438 per student in district revenue, the 28 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $432,264/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUMBERTON H S LUMBERTON |
Public | 10.8 | 1,232 | +1.6% |
| SILSBEE H S SILSBEE |
Public | 10.9 | 789 | +3.4% |
| EVADALE H S EVADALE |
Public | 15.3 | 120 | +0.0% |
| WEST HARDIN H S SARATOGA |
Public | 15.8 | 176 | -5.9% |
| WARREN H S WARREN |
Public | 16.7 | 339 | -3.1% |
| HARDIN-JEFFERSON H S SOUR LAKE |
Public | 19.2 | 782 | +7.7% |
| WEST BROOK SR H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 22.0 | 2,213 | -2.2% |
| BEAUMONT ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 22.2 | 321 | +9.6% |