HARDIN-JEFFERSON H S
Public
SOUR LAKE, TX · HARDIN-JEFFERSON ISD · 32.9% free/reduced lunch
Enrollment trend & projection
Grade 12 went from 179 in 2021 to
168 in 2024
— over 3 years.
-6.1%
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of +2.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 782 students:
2025
802
2027
842
2029
885
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue upside
At $11,229 per student in district revenue, the 103 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $1,156,587/year in additional funding.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW AE CHINA |
Public | 5.3 | 3 | — |
| WEST BROOK SR H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 12.5 | 2,213 | -2.2% |
| WEST HARDIN H S SARATOGA |
Public | 14.2 | 176 | -5.9% |
| HULL-DAISETTA H S DAISETTA |
Public | 14.4 | 105 | -15.3% |
| Monsignor Kelly Catholic School Beaumont |
Private | 14.9 | 341 | -22.7% |
| LUMBERTON H S LUMBERTON |
Public | 15.3 | 1,232 | +1.6% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY- BEAUMONT BEAUMONT |
Public · charter | 15.5 | 212 | +33.3% |
| BEAUMONT ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 15.9 | 321 | +9.6% |