NEW AE
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -15.7%/year, projecting from 2024's 3 students:
≈ 2 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $11,229 per student in district revenue, the 2 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $22,458/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HARDIN-JEFFERSON H S SOUR LAKE |
Public | 5.3 | 782 | +7.7% |
| WEST BROOK SR H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 8.6 | 2,213 | -2.2% |
| Monsignor Kelly Catholic School Beaumont |
Private | 10.6 | 341 | -22.7% |
| HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY- BEAUMONT BEAUMONT |
Public · charter | 11.7 | 212 | +33.3% |
| BEAUMONT ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 12.4 | 321 | +9.6% |
| Solid Rock Christian Academy Beaumont |
Private | 12.6 | 110 | — |
| EVOLUTION ACADEMY BEAUMONT BEAUMONT |
Public · charter | 12.8 | 202 | +4.7% |
| BEAUMONT UNITED H S BEAUMONT |
Public | 13.1 | 2,035 | -4.5% |