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LUMBERTON H S

Public
LUMBERTON, TX · LUMBERTON ISD · 32.9% free/reduced lunch

Enrollment trend & projection

Grade 12 went from 281 in 2021 to 272 in 2024 — over 3 years.
-3.2%

Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of +0.5%/year, projecting from 2024's 1,232 students:

2025
1,238
2027
1,251
2029
1,264

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue upside

At $10,643 per student in district revenue, the 32 students projected to be gained by 2029 represent ≈ $340,576/year in additional funding.

District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.

Nearby high schools — the local competition

The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
SILSBEE H S
SILSBEE
Public 7.2 789 +3.4%
EVADALE H S
EVADALE
Public 10.5 120 +0.0%
KOUNTZE H S
KOUNTZE
Public 10.8 328 -5.2%
BEAUMONT ISD EARLY COLLEGE H S
BEAUMONT
Public 11.6 321 +9.6%
WEST BROOK SR H S
BEAUMONT
Public 12.3 2,213 -2.2%
HARMONY SCIENCE ACADEMY- BEAUMONT
BEAUMONT
Public · charter 12.6 212 +33.3%
Solid Rock Christian Academy
Beaumont
Private 12.9 110
O C TAYLOR CTR
BEAUMONT
Public 12.9

Is LUMBERTON H S winning or losing the families nearby?

An Enrollment Trend Audit shows exactly where students are going — and what it takes to keep them.

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