VEGA H S
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment + grade 12, NCES Common Core of Data (2021–2024).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -5.3%/year, projecting from 2024's 108 students:
≈ 26 fewer students by 2029 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At $20,714 per student in district revenue, the 26 students projected to be lost by 2029 represent ≈ $538,564/year in funding at risk.
District total revenue ÷ enrollment, NCES F-33. Public funding largely follows enrollment, so a shrinking class is a recurring budget hit.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WILDORADO SCHOOL WILDORADO |
Public | 13.1 | 68 | -5.6% |
| ADRIAN SCHOOL ADRIAN |
Public | 14.0 | 42 | — |
| BUSHLAND H S AMARILLO |
Public | 20.5 | 497 | -2.0% |
| BOYS RANCH H S BOYS RANCH |
Public | 21.6 | 88 | -15.4% |
| WEST PLAINS H S AMARILLO |
Public | 27.0 | 1,221 | +34.2% |
| Ascension Academy Amarillo |
Private | 27.4 | 171 | -2.3% |
| HEREFORD H S HEREFORD |
Public | 29.3 | 1,182 | +2.4% |
| AMARILLO H S AMARILLO |
Public | 29.6 | 2,161 | -0.3% |