Ascension Academy
Private
K–12 / combined
Nonsectarian
Amarillo, TX
Enrollment trend & projection
Total enrollment went from 175 in 2018 to
171 in 2022
— over 4 years.
-2.3%
Total enrollment, NCES Private School Universe Survey (biennial).
If the recent trend holds…
At its recent rate of -0.6%/year, projecting from 2022's 171 students:
2023
170
2025
168
2027
166
≈ 5 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.
An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.
Revenue at risk
At tuition per student, the 5 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $80,000/year in tuition at risk.
Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.
Nearby high schools — the local competition
The closest high schools families here also consider, and where their enrollment is heading.
| School | Type | Miles | HS enrollment | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST PLAINS H S AMARILLO |
Public | 1.9 | 1,221 | +34.2% |
| AMARILLO H S AMARILLO |
Public | 2.4 | 2,161 | -0.3% |
| RICHARD MILBURN ACADEMY AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 3.6 | 133 | -26.9% |
| PREMIER H S OF AMARILLO AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 4.0 | 250 | -6.7% |
| RANDALL H S AMARILLO |
Public | 4.1 | 1,126 | -37.0% |
| TASCOSA H S AMARILLO |
Public | 4.5 | 2,176 | -0.4% |
| AMARILLO COLLEGIATE ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public · charter | 4.5 | 115 | +11.7% |
| AMTECH CAREER ACADEMY AMARILLO |
Public | 4.8 | 22 | — |